Thursday, 24 November 2016

Armenian News... A Topalian... Engaged In Caucasus Under Trump


RFE/RL Report
U.S. Said To Stay Engaged In Caucasus Under Trump
November 16, 2016


The United States will stay engaged in the South Caucasus during
President-elect Donald Trump's tenure, a senior U.S. State Department
official reportedly told President Serzh Sarkisian on Wednesday.

Bridget Brink, the deputy assistant secretary of state for European
and Eurasian affairs, met with Sarkisian in Yerevan to discuss
U.S.-Armenian relations and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict one week
after Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election.

According to Sarkisian's press service, Brink assured him that "under
the new administration the United States will continue to be
interested in developments in the South Caucasus." Washington will
also remain committed to the implementation of Armenian-Azerbaijani
confidence-building agreements reached earlier this year, it said in a
statement.

The statement also cited Brink as praising "close relations and
productive interaction in various area" between the U.S. and Armenia.

Sarkisian, for his part, was reported to call for a deepening of
U.S.-Armenian ties. He expressed confidence that "the U.S.-Armenian
political dialogue will not only continue but also receive new impetus
under President Trump."

Sarkisian made a similar forecast in a congratulatory message to Trump
sent on November 9. "I am confident that during your presidency the
close U.S.-Armenia partnership will continue to develop dynamically,"
he wrote.

Throughout his rule, Sarkisian has sought closer ties with the United
States despite Armenia's political and military alliance with
Russia. He has repeatedly said in recent years that U.S.-Armenian
relations have reached the "highest level in their history."

Deputy Foreign Minister Shavarsh Kocharian said last week that Yerevan
does not expect the Trump administration to significantly change
U.S. policy towards the South Caucasus. Kocharian dismissed
suggestions that Trump may have little knowledge of key regional
issues such as the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. 



Al-Manar TV - Hezbollah Media, Lebanon
Armenian President Says Deployment of Russian Iskander 
Missiles Necessary Measure to Ensure Regional Stability
Nov 17 2016

The deployment of Russia’s Iskander missile systems in Armenia was a
necessary measure to ensure regional stability and help balance
situation, Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said on Thursday.

“I think this [deployment of Iskanders in Armenia] was a necessary
measure to somehow balance the military situation in our region,”
Sargsyan told Sputnik news agency.

“It is no secret that Azerbaijan has regularly purchased
state-of-the-art weaponry in the past few years. We do not have such
financial capabilities as Azerbaijan, but we are constantly trying to
balance the situation by finding an antidote. I think Iskander is such
an antidote in this case,” he said.

Iskanders were first demonstrated on September 21 at a military parade
in Yerevan marking the 25th anniversary of Armenia’s independence.
They were reportedly adopted by Armenia’s Armed Forces earlier and
were put on combat alert during the escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh in
April this year.

The Armenian President said there is no need to establish new Russian
military bases in Armenia, and it would be enough to expand the
capacity of the existing one in Gyumri.

“I do not believe that there is any need in this because the military
base is able to take in all elements which may be needed. Therefore,
one military base is enough for the small Armenia, it is just
necessary to give it military power,” Sargsyan said.

The Russian 102nd Military Base is located in the Armenian city of
Gyumri. On August 20, 2010, Russia and Armenia agreed to prolong the
agreement on the base location until 2044.

Sargsyan expressed Armenia’s support for Russia’s actions in Syria,
stating: “We fully support Russia providing help to the Syrian
government upon its request. There can be no doubts here. This is a
legal right of the Syrian government to ask for help, and Russia’s
legal right to provide this help.”

According to the president, Yerevan would like to see the Syrian
crisis resolved quickly, but it can only be settled by the Syrian
people.

“Of course, we would like for this issue to be resolved quickly,
however, as I can see, there can hardly be a quick solution. There are
20,000 of our compatriots living [in Syria]. We do not have exact
information,” Sargsyan 


arka.am 
A citizen of Armenia needs the equivalent of more than 
$1000 a month for ‘a very good life’ – survey 
YEREVAN, November 17. /ARKA/. A citizen of Armenia needs the equivalent of more than $1000 a month for a ‘very good life’, according to a National Statistical Service’s report called "Poverty and social panorama of Armenia in 2015", based on a nation-wide survey of 5,184 households.

Respondents of the survey noted that a person needs 568,369 drams or $1,376 per month for "very good life;" 250,672 drams ($ 603) for "good life", and 95 680 AMD ($ 230) ‘just not to die of hunger.’ The minimum monthly wage in Armenia, according to the latest official statistics, is 55,000 drams, while the median gross wage in September this year was 184,992 drams.

According to the survey, 38.5% of respondents aged 16 years and older believe that the improvement of their living standards does not depend on them, and that the government should provide them with jobs and good conditions, while 20% said that they did not plan to raise the level of their life.

At the same time 12.4% of respondents said they were looking for a profitable job in Armenia, and 1.1% wanted to start their own business in the country.

According to 22.8% of the respondents, the next generation will live better, 33.6% believe that its living standards will worsen, and 19.8% think that the next generation’s life will not change. About 23.8% of the respondents could not answer this question.

According to the report, 15% of Armenian citizens consider themselves poor, another 45.1% think that their living standards are below average, and 36.1% of respondents believe they are average. However, only 3.2% of respondents believe that their standard of living is above the average. None of the respondents identified themselves as belonging to the rich class.

The poverty rate in Armenia in 2015 was 29.8%, by 0.2% less than in 2014, according to official data. The total number of poor people last year stood at 900,000, of whom 310, 000 were very poor and 60,000 extremely poor. Therefore, 19.4% of the population was poor, 8.4% - very poor and 2% - extremely poor.

news.am
Armenian start-up based in Silicon Valley gets $10 mln investment
18.11.2016 

Armenian CodeFights startup based in Silicon Valley has received $10 million investment for expanding its platform.

Co-founder and CEO of CodeFights, Tigran Sloyan, told the aforementioned to Armenian News.

“CodeFights will help choose potential workers more correctly, not based on diploma, title and other unnecessary information. The platform makes the programmers’ recruitment process more fair, considering only their knowledge and skills,”the CodeFights co-founder said.

Through CodeFights Tigran Sloyan wishes to expand the labor market of programmers, allowing companies to assess their real knowledge and skills instead of their diploma and the university attended.

“20 years ago one had to have a diploma from Stanford or Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) to be considered a good programmer, whereas now it is enough to be smart, diligent and purposeful. Through online educational platforms one can already become eligible for the best work in the area,”Sloyan said.

CodeFights allows opening personal page and organizing programming competitions with each other, as well as company bots.

The platform includes the table of the leaders, which allows tracking their progress. The programming companies can use the platform to look for specialists. Once the worker is chosen, the company pays 15 percent of his one year salary to CodeFights.


arminfo.info
Loss amounted to 47.017.882 mln drams caused to the state 
due to criminal activities of Armenia`s Finance Ministry officials 

The General Prosecutor's Office has told ArmInfo that based on the data received from the Ministry it was revealed that some officials working in various departments of the Ministry have ignored the decision on collecting 75.467.232 drams and signed an agreement with the lawbreaker on paying only 28.449.350 drams by this causing a loss amounted to 47.017.882 mln drams.

A criminal case has been initiated based on these facts. The special Investigative Committee conducts preliminary investigation.


panorama.am 
Krzysztof Stopka: Armenians Played Important Role in 
Polish History and Culture 
By Nvard Chalikyan
19.11.16
The Armenian community of Poland has had an important contribution in the life of Poland through history, says Dr. Krzysztof Stopka , Professor of History and Armenian studies at Jagiellonian University in Krakow (Poland) in the interview to Scholarm.com website.

“The Armenians played from the 14 th century a very important role in the history of Poland. They played an important role in the diplomatic relations between the Polish state and the Ottoman Empire… as well as with Persia since the 17 th century. The Armenians also contributed to the orientalization of the Polish culture [as well as] played a role in the Polish high culture”, – says Dr. Stopka in the interview.

Dr. Stopka also speaks about his books on Armenian issues, particularly the book Armenian Warsaw (Ormiańska Warszawa) which presents a large collection of facts about the contribution of the Armenians in cultural, economic, political and other spheres of life in Warsaw through history.


“The Armenians were a small group in the capital, but they were very important for the economy and the government of the whole city. It was surprising for us to find this out… They imported oriental goods to Warsaw, but also they founded the manufactures of the oriental textiles. Near Warsaw they founded a factory of Polish belts (very typical for Polish national style) and during the 18 th century this manufacture was very popular… In the 19 th century the Armenians played a very important role in the Polish struggle for independence. They took part in the Polish revolution against Russia in the 18 th century and they supported the Polish case (for the Polish people the Russians were oppressors)… The Armenians also took part in the Polish military during the World War II fighting against [Nazi] Germany. This is a reason for pride for the descendents of Armenians”, – says Dr. Stopka.

Dr. Stopka says the history of the Armenian community in Poland should be interesting for Armenians today because, among other reasons, this small but rich and influential community had a political influence on the Armenian question in the 17-18 th centuries. Also, he says the language that they spoke (both Armenian and Kipchak) is an interesting phenomenon for the linguists to study – he himself has written a book on this.

Other publications by Dr. Stopka on the Armenian issues include Lehahayer – Journal of History of Polish Armenians and Armenia Christiana – a book on the history of the Armenian Church between Constantinople and Rome.

Dr. Stopka plans to write a new book about the Armenian Apostolic Church in Poland – from the beginning up until the union with Rome. He has already collected a lot of new and interesting materials on this topic from the archives of Ukraine.

Another book titled Armenian Krakow is now being prepared by Dr. Stopka’s colleague Dr. Andrzej ZiÄ™ba, who is also a professor at the Jagiellonian University.

Dr. Krzysztof Stopka started studying Armenian history and culture about 30 years ago when he wrote his Master’s thesis on the history of the Armenian colonies in Old Poland. Since then he has authored many books on the Armenian history, and he says that this subject has never stopped being interesting for him.

See the complete interview at Scholarm.com

Saturday, 19 November 2016

GIBRAHAYER E-MAGAZINE ... NOVEMBER 2016

 
read the November 2016 issue by clicking here: www.gibrahayer.com
 
► Homenetmen leaders across the world gather in Cyprus
► Hovig Demirdjian to represent Cyprus in Eurovision 2017
► Juniors join AYF ranks as Dashnaktsoutiun celebrates “Youth Day”
► Homenetmen Scouts take their oath
► Apply to Birthright Armenia
► Hamazkayin’s SIPAN Dance Ensemble performs in Dherynia
► Yerkir Media’s four-part documentary on Cyprus
► Hagop Kazandjian decorated by Homenetmen
► The film “Map of Salvation” to be shown in Nicosia
► ARF Dashnaktsoutiun’s 126th anniversary to be celebrated in Nicosia
► Arto Tavitian and Simon Aynedjian participate in 8th Media conference in Yerevan
► Simon Aynedjian’s interview on “Hayern Aysor”
► Alla Levonyan performs in Cyprus
► Peter Balakian receives Pulitzer prize
► Book Launch “Kim Bu Ermeniler”
► Aram I bestows Haroutioun Anmahouni
► Hayastan All-Armenia Fund report
► Pacific comes to Cyprus
 
Click here for the latest updates from Armenia, Artsakh, the Diaspora and Cyprus
 
Follow us on Facebook on www.facebook.com/gibrahayer

Armenian News... A Topalian... Cardiff community concert raised funds



The Cardiff community held a joint choir concert while at the same time raising funds to take desperate Aleppo Armenian families out of the war zone and to the safety of Armenia.

The situation is critical and life-threatening - Syrian Armenians present at the event reported 7 deaths in the last month. The money already raised will pay for the travel costs for one family to be removed from the besieged city away from the barrel bombs.

This email is forwarded on in the hope that the rest of the Armenian communities will respond generously.


Dear friends

Thank you for your support on the 6th November.

We have managed to raise £1000.00 on the day.

After careful consideration and vetting we have decided to send the
money to the Aleppo Organisation.

http://www.aleppo-ngo.org/about-us/ [1]

They specialise in rescuing families from Aleppo and re patriating them
to Armenia.

Prior to sending any money we will be introduced to the family that the
funds will purchase the tickets for.

We will be in contact with that family during their trip.

The Charity organises the visas and all travel until they reach
Zvartnots Airport in Yerevan.

IF YOU HAVE CONTRIBUTED AND WOULD LIKE TO MAKE AN EXTRA DONATION PLEASE
DO SO.

IF YOU HAVEN’T ANY AMOUNT OF DONATION WOULD BE VERY MUCH APPRECIATED.

YOU WILL BE HELPING ONE VERY MUCH IN NEED ARMENIAN FAMILY.

PLEASE MAKE CHEQUES PAYABLE TO ACCW 
OR DIRECT TRANSFER TO ACCOUNT NAME
ACCW, ACCOUNT NUMBER 63876543 SORT CODE 20-18-15. 
PLEASE MAKE REFERENCE - ALEPPO
(Armenian Community Council Wales)

Thank you for your support and should you have any questions, concerns
or wish to make a further donation please contact myself or Alice on 
the emails below

Regards
Mariam and Alice

Alice Kanekanian <akanekanian@gmail.com [2]>

Mariam Atanesyan <mariam.atanesyan@bk.ru [3]>



Links:
------
[1] http://www.aleppo-ngo.org/about-us/
[2] mailto:akanekanian@gmail.com
[3] mailto:mariam.atanesyan@bk.ru

Armenian News.... A Topalian... Mortar Fire in Nagorno-Karabakh


RFE/RL Report
Mortar Fire Reported In Karabakh
November 11, 2016
Arus Hakobian
Nagorno-Karabakh's Armenian-backed military accused Azerbaijani forces
on Friday of using mortars to intensify ceasefire violations along the
"line of contact" around Karabakh.

"Starting from 12:15, the enemy is firing from 60- and 82-milimeter
mortars at the [Karabakh] Defense Army's positions at northeastern
sections of the frontline," the army said in a statement issued early
in the afternoon. It claimed that the Azerbaijani side also resorted
to "provocative actions" overnight.

"In order to suppress the enemy's offensive activity, frontline troops
of the Defense Army are taking retaliatory actions," added the
statement.

The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry did not immediately respond to these
claims. It said earlier in the day that Armenian forces used mortars
to shell its troops stationed along Azerbaijan's border with Armenia
and the Karabakh "line of contact."

Neither side reported casualties.

The Azerbaijani mortar fire was reported near Talish, a war-ravaged
village in Karabakh's north. The village mayor, Vilen Petrosian, also
said that nearby Karabakh Armenian positions are being shelled.

"Gunshots are continuing right now, but they are not reaching our
village," Petrosian told RFE/RL's Armenian service. "They are mainly
shooting at army positions near Talish."

The mountainous area was one of the epicenters of unusually heavy
fighting in and around Karabakh that broke out in early April. The
Azerbaijani army heavily shelled Talish and partly or fully destroyed
many village houses when it went on offensive at the time.

The several hundred residents of Talish fled their homes as a
result. The vast majority of them are still too scared to return.

At least 180 Armenian and Azerbaijani soldiers were killed before the
four-day hostilities were halted by a Russian-brokered
agreement. Truce violations on the Karabakh frontlines decreased
significantly after April as the international community scrambled to
de-escalate the Karabakh conflict.

In recent weeks, the Karabakh leadership has accused Baku of
increasingly breaching the ceasefire regime. Still, a team of U.S.,
Russian and French mediators said that "the situation on the ground
remains relatively calm" after visiting the conflict zone late last
month. They also stressed that "respect for the ceasefire provides a
critical foundation for ongoing negotiations" between the warring
sides.

The latest escalation alleged by the Armenian side comes on the eve of
large-scale military exercises planned by Azerbaijan. The exercises
will reportedly involve tens of thousands of soldiers and hundreds of
tanks, artillery systems, helicopters and warplanes. 

[the Azeri perception of their military might seems dangerously 
to have gone up]

Vestnik Kavkaza
Ilham Aliyev: "April battles should go into military textbooks"
Nov 14 2016
Yesterday at a meeting with students of the military schools of Azerbaijan's Fizuli region, President Ilham Aliyev said that Azerbaijan will put an end to the occupation of its territories, there is every reason for this: Azerbaijan's army is among the strongest armies in the world, its logistics is at the highest level, the combat capability is increasing, as well as professionalism.

In 1994, the Azerbaijani army, carrying out a successful military operation, liberated these territories and other territories of the Fuzuli region from occupation. Now houses and entire villages are being built in these territories. Ilham Aliyev recalled another historic victory of Azerbaijan's army in this year: "In April, Armenia committed another armed provocation against our country and our people. Azerbaijan's heroic army - soldiers and officers of our nation - gave an adequate response to this provocation. By conducting a successful counterattack operation, the Azerbaijani army inflicted a crushing blow to the enemy and liberated a part of the Azerbaijani lands from the occupation. The operation to liberate Lele Tepe hill in the Fizuli region from occupation is our glorious history. Today, we are able to destroy any enemy object. The April battles demonstrated the power of our army once again."

During the meeting with servicemen who distinguished themselves in battles, Aliyev recalled: "A few months ago, this territory was under occupation. A successful counterattack operation resulted in liberation of more than 2000 hectares of land that were under occupation in the Fuzuli, Jabrayil and Aghdere regions. Today, the Azerbaijani army fully controls thousands of hectares of land. The April battles should go into military textbooks".

The President said that in April he met with wounded soldiers and officers at the military hospital and saw their enthusiasm. They had an only desire – to recover quickly and return to the battle zones.

"Armenia has invented lies and myths about its army for many years. Allegedly, they have an invincible army. The April battles showed which army is invincible. There is no such a military target in the occupied territories and Nagorno-Karabakh that can’t be destroyed by Azerbaijan’s army," the President said. 
In recent years, Azerbaijan has purchased modern weapons, military equipment worth billions of dollars, which was created on the basis of latest technologies. According to Ilham Aliyev, along with combat capability, and high patriotic spirit of the Azerbaijani army. "We are on our lands, it is Azerbaijan. Leletepe, Shusha, Khankendi are also Azerbaijan. We are on our land. We have no claims for others’ territories. But will never allow the creation of a second Armenian state on our lands. If the Armenian armed forces did not draw a right conclusion from the April battles, there will be many successful operations as the Leletepe operation in the future. The leadership of Armenia must finally realize that their aggressive actions are leading them to the abyss," Ilham Aliyev said.


RFE/RL Report
Migrant Remittances To Armenia Keep Falling
November 11, 2016
Sargis Harutyunyan

Multimillion-dollar remittances from Armenians working abroad -- and
in Russia in particular -- have continued to fall significantly this
year, dragging down economic growth in Armenia.

According to the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA), they totaled about
$1.1 billion in January-September, a year-on-year decrease of almost
11 percent.


The drop was even sharper last year, with remittances falling to $1.63
million from $2.12 billion in 2014 amid a recession in Russia, the
main source of these vital cash inflows. Armenia's entire Gross
Domestic Product was worth less than $11 billion in 2015.

Russia accounted for over 60 percent of the remittances in the first
nine months of 2016. Their shrinking amount seems to explain why
retail sales in the country were down by 3.4 percent in the same
period, according to official statistics.

That contrasted with a 20 percent rise in Armenian exports registered
by the National Statistical Service (NSS) in January-September
2016. The NSS put their total volume at $1.3 billion. Exports to
Russia soared by as much as 55 percent to $260 million.

The Armenian economy is projected to grow by between 2 and 3 percent
this year. Finance Minister Vartan Aramian acknowledged last month
that for a country like Armenia such a growth rate is too modest to
have a major impact on living standards.

Armenia's recently reshuffled government expects growth to accelerate
to 3.2 percent in 2017. Prime Minister Karen Karapetian said recently
that an unfavorable external economic environment and "economic
passivity" resulting from next year's Armenian parliamentary elections
could put this target at risk. "We will do everything to ensure that
rate," he told parliament.

But Vahagn Khachatrian, an economist and senior member of the
opposition Armenian National Congress (HAK), questioned the growth
target set by the government, pointing to the falling remittances. He
also offered a grim outlook for the economic situation in Russia and
international prices of non-ferrous metals, a key Armenian export
item.

In its latest World Economic Outlook released in October, the
International Monetary Fund said the Russian economy is expected to
return to growth next year. It forecast a 2017 growth rate of 1
percent for Russia and 3.4 percent for Armenia.

The Russian economy contracted by 3.7 percent in 2015 due to falling
oil prices and international sanctions that limited Russia's access to
international financial markets. The IMF expects it to shrink by
around 1 percent this year.


coventryobserver.co.uk
Lucky punter turns 25p into £205,000 – thanks to Armenia’s 
dramatic winner against Montenegro
15 Nov 2016 

Ireland-based bookmaking giants Paddy Power have been forced to pay out at what is believed to be the highest price for a winning betting slip after Armenia’s win victory over Montenegro in a 2018 World Cup qualifier.

One lucky Coventry punter defied all odds to land an incredible 820,728/1 11-fold accumulator after placing a 25p bet at a city betting shop, the Coventry Observer reports.

It was Gevorg Ghazaryan’s goal just seconds before the final whistle was due to be blown in Armenia’s Group E World Cup Qualifying game against Montenegro which landed the shock accumulator.

As a result, Ireland-based bookmaking giants Paddy Power have been forced to pay out at what is believed to be the highest price for a winning betting slip – and losing them £250,000.

Placed on Friday, the bet looked to be off as four of the eleven teams he selected were behind at one stage during their game – these being France, Plymouth, Cambridge United and Port Vale.

Incredibly, Port Vale netted a winner against Fleetwood Town in the 86th minute and the Czech Republic then scored a third goal for Czech Republic with just three minutes of time left.

However those results came nothing close to the shock that Armenia caused against Montenegro.

With a population of less than three million, the underdogs found themselves 2-0 down at half time – meaning Armenia had to score at least three times in 45 minutes for the bet to be landed.

Five minutes after half-time Varazdat Haroyan pulled one back, but Armenia only struck the equaliser after 74 minutes.

The clock ticked past 90 minutes, however with just seconds left in the game hero of the hour Ghazaryan scored – netting the city punter a massive £250,000.

A Paddy Power spokesman said the £250k win is one of the biggest on record from such a small stake.

They added: “We already took a beating after Donald Trump was elected as US president, and this Coventry lad has rubbed salt into our wounds by landing this miracle punt.

“I’ve no idea where Armenia is but hopefully this lucky fella will spend some of his winnings on a flight to thank them in person.” 

The Mirror, UK
 Borussia Dortmund eager to end Henrikh Mkhitaryan's Manchester United
hell with January loan move
November 12, 2016
By Steve Bates

The Armenian has made no impact at United since arriving in a £26.9m
deal and Dortmund boss Tomas Tuchel has told club bosses he is keen on
taking him back

Borussia Dortmund want to rescue Henrikh Mkhitaryan from his
Manchester United hell and take him back to Germany in January, writes
Steve Bates in the Sunday People.

Dortmund's highly-regarded coach Tomas Tuchel as well as club bosses
CEO Hans-Joachim Watzke and General manager Michael Zorc have all been
shocked at Mkhitaryan's free-fall at Old Trafford.

They are astounded at Mkhitaryan's failure to make any kind of impact
under United boss Jose Mourinho - especially as the Armenian
play-maker was one of the Bundesliga's top stars before he left
Dortmund in a £26.9 deal last summer.

Tuchel has told Watzke and Zorc he would be happy to take 27 year-old
Mkhitaryan back in January if Dortmund can strike a loan-deal with
United.

Mkhitaryan was expected to deliver the same creative flair at Old
Trafford having been king of the assists during his time at Dortmund
after moving from Shaktar Donetsk in 2013.

The Armenian star scored 33 goals in 114 games for Dortmund but so far
he's made just 6 appearances for United, some from the bench, and
failed to convince Mourinho to give him a run in the side ahead of
Wayne Rooney or Juan Mata.

Mkhitaryan's Old Trafford career stalled after he picked up a thigh
injury in the 2-1 defeat by Manchester City on September 10 and was
out for seven weeks b efore making a late substitute appearance
against Fenerbahce in Istanbul recently.

But he was again left out of the United side which won at Swansea
before the international break and that's alerted Dortmund who are
planning to contact Old Trafford ahead of the January window opening
to determine whether Mourinho will let him return to Germany for the
rest of the season.

The move would be familiar territory for the two clubs with Dortmund
buying back Japanese midfielder Shinji Kagawa in 2014 after two
lukewarm seasons at United following his £12 million transfer in 2012.

But at least Mkhitaryan has something to smile about after skippering
his country to their first 2018 World Cup qualifying win of the
campaign.

Armenia staged a remarkable comeback against Montenegro winning 3-2
after being 2-0 down to record their first win in 12 competitive games
stretching back to 2013.


Chicago Tribune
Kamikaze drones, Russian missiles jolt oldest ex-Soviet feud 
Nov 14 2016 
Zulfugar Agayev,

Old grievances are being aired with new force in the former Soviet Union's longest-running conflict.

Armenia and Azerbaijan, technically at war over the Nagorno-Karabakh region despite a cease-fire brokered by Russia 22 years ago, are beefing up their arsenals just seven months after the worst fighting in two decades. Armenia has acquired Russian-made Iskander ballistic missiles, while Azerbaijan says it's tested combat drones produced with Israel and is in talks with Pakistan to buy high-tech weapons.

"We have a much more serious arms race," said Zaur Shiriyev, an academy associate at Chatham House in London. "It will significantly increase the chance of future outbreaks."

The rearmament is raising the stakes should tensions flare again between Russian ally Armenia and Azerbaijan, close to NATO member Turkey, after the two neighbors spent almost $27 billion on defense in 2005-2015. The conflict, within striking distance of a BP Plc-led oil pipeline, is once more showing signs of boiling over as talks mediated by Russia and the U.S. run aground and uncertainty mounts after Donald Trump's election as American president.

Armenians took over Nagorno-Karabakh and seven adjacent districts from Azerbaijan after the 1991 Soviet breakup. The conflict killed 30,000 people and displaced more than a million. No peace accord was signed despite talks involving Russia, the U.S. and France halting major hostilities in 1994.

The enclave's mainly Armenian population declared independence in 1991, which hasn't been recognized internationally, and insists on its right to self-determination. Azerbaijan says it's ready to grant more autonomy than the region enjoyed during the Soviet period, but demands respect for its territorial integrity.

Azerbaijan, the third-largest crude producer in the former Soviet Union, has converted its oil wealth into battlefield might, becoming Europe's largest importer of major weapons in the decade through 2015 by spending $22.7 billion on the military in the period, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. Its annual defense spending eclipses Armenia's entire state budget.

The largess has been a boon for companies like Uralvagonzavod, the state-run maker of battle tanks in central Russia since World War II, and Elbit Systems, Israel's biggest publicly traded defense contractor.

Violence surged in April, when more than 200 troops were killed on both sides in four days of fighting that involved hundreds of tanks and aircraft. Azerbaijan regained control of several hills lost to Armenians 23 years ago, before another Russian-engineered truce. New cease-fire violations were reported last week, which the belligerents blamed on each other.

April's clashes featured the first known use of "kamikaze drones" by Azerbaijan, with the explosive-tipped aircraft slamming into a bus carrying Armenian volunteers. Media including Radio Free Europe claimed to have identified the weapons as Israeli-made Harop drones. The Azeri and Israeli defense ministries both declined to confirm or deny that Harops were used.

Azerbaijan said in September that it would build "hundreds" of kamikaze and other combat drones using Israeli technology. Speaking on Saturday while visiting Azeri troops stationed southeast of Nagorno-Karabakh at one of the hills recaptured in April, President Ilham Aliyev said his country has already purchased modern weapons worth billions and intends to buy more. Aliyev called on Armenia to "draw lessons" from the last bout of fighting and vowed to recapture control of the breakaway region.

Armenia has also bolstered its capabilities, getting a $200 million loan from Russia to buy and modernize weapons and other military equipment. In a document dated Nov. 12, President Vladimir Putin approved an agreement on creating a joint military force with Armenia and instructed officials to complete the remaining negotiations. The group, which plans to operate in the Caucasus region, will be responsible for defending the borders of Russia and Armenia and rebuffing an attack on either party.

Armenia showcased its Iskander missiles at an Independence Day parade in September in Yerevan, the capital. Stationing the short-range rockets in Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan's BP-operated Sangachal oil-and-gas-processing terminal south of Baku would fall within firing range. Azerbaijan has attracted more than $60 billion of investments in energy projects by BP and its partners in the past 20 years.

A spokesman for Russia's state-run arms trader Rosoboronexport, Vyacheslav Davidenko, declined to comment on any weapons provided to Armenia.

Russia has stressed that is also sells military hardware to Azerbaijan. It supplied the missiles through the Collective Security Treaty Organization, a post-Soviet military alliance, according to the Vedomosti business newspaper.

"Armenia sought to use this display to deter Azerbaijan from a further attack and to demonstrate a solid position in the recently shifting military balance of power," said Richard Giragosian, director of the Regional Studies Center in Yerevan. "This missile system is capable of reaching significant infrastructure and vulnerable targets in around Baku and throughout Azerbaijan. This is why the balance of power is now more equal."

Azerbaijan rejects any shift in the military balance, and Armenia's missile display certainly hasn't eased tensions. The Azeri Defense Ministry responded by holding drills involving Russian-made S-300 air-defense systems and threatened to retaliate with "thousands of rockets" should Armenia try to use "a few" of its missiles. Deadly clashes around the conflict zone resumed last month, while Azerbaijan began some of its biggest-ever military drills on Nov. 12.

The military one-upmanship has complicated mediation. Talks over a settlement in Nagorno-Karabakh are deadlocked, according to Russia, which helped arrange a June meeting between the Azeri and Armenian presidents. U.S., Russian and French diplomats failed to persuade them to meet again soon.

Meanwhile, the possible cost of any renewed violence is rising.

"Russia's delivery of Iskander missiles and other heavy weapons systems to Armenia" has the potential to "raise the costs to both sides of a potential future armed conflict," said Matthew Bryza, an ex-U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state who also served as an ambassador to Azerbaijan and brokered talks over Karabakh.

Bloomberg contributors: Sara Khojoyan, David Wainer, Ilya Arkhipov and Stepan Kravchenko.

** FATHER FRANK’S RANTS Rant Number 702 15 September 16 HEROIC TRUMP


HERO CULT: COULD THAT APPLY TO TRUMP? IS THE DONALD A HERO?
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Muhammad, Cromwell, Friedrich II, Napoleon, Dante, Shakespeare, Martin Luther, John Knox, Rousseau, Robbie Burns, even the god Odin: what do they have in common? They are heroes, claimed Victorian writer Thomas Carlyle – author of ‘Heroes and Hero Worship’. And heroes explain human history. Marx was dead wrong, see? It is not impersonal social forces like the economy but big, charismatic personalities, exceptional men who drive the march of world events: heroes.

What would Carlyle make of Donald Trump? ‘A charlatan, a demagogue and a rogue!’ his foes scream. Hold your horses. For his supporters the next President is not that. The millions who elected him have great expectations. Mega ones. Reversing US industrial decline. Building a Great Wall. Kicking out aliens. Bashing China. Making America glorious again. Almost superhuman tasks. Indeed, for his fans Trump is more than a hero – a Hercules, a demi-god, a saviour, a superhero!

Not even the Donald’s most ardent fans would claim he is divine. Or eminent in poetry or literature. Or that he boasts a vocation as a prophet or religious reformer. A Cromwell, a Napoleon, maybe? But Cromwell and Bonaparte were military geniuses. They won wars. And, despite his downfall, Napoleon bequeathed on France the famous Code Napoleon, the civil code that has shaped the law of many European countries. As to Trump, he is very rich. A billionaire businessman into real estate, hotels, golf courses and famous for the TV game show The Apprentice. But a hero? Carlyle would raise a bushy eyebrow…

Politics is Trump’s realm, however, and in politics what makes a hero is success – of a kind, despite adversities. Friedrich the Great was besieged in Berlin, about to kill himself but fate saved him and he went on to conquer and make Prussia feared. Cromwell won the civil war and became an all-powerful dictator. After his death his body was dug up and scattered and the monarchy restored but the divine right of Kings was buried forever. The petty Brits imprisoned Napoleon in St Helena where he wilted away but his myth never died. Success can reach beyond the grave.

And Trump? Actually, he has already succeeded. His electoral triumph has stunned the world. (And me: when I heard the news I thought it a hoax.) His violent, outrageous non-PC remarks and postures supposedly had made him a pariah. Virtually all the media, CNN, BBC, SKY, ITV, Channel 4, the ‘experts’, the progressive forces, moderates, liberals, feminists, abortionists, LBC James O’Brien, George Soros – all that smug gang were ranged against him. He was a misogynist, a racist, a rapist, a fascist and whatnots. How could such a hideous monster win? And yet he has. Against all the odds. A titanic deed worthy of a Hercules, a hero. Bigger challenges lie ahead, however.

Paradoxically, it is the fear and loathing emanating from the pro-Hillary camp that has boosted Trump’s fame. The dividing line between an anti-hero and a hero is thin. Napoleon for the English was a shady Corsican adventurer, For Royalists Cromwell a scoundrel and his fellow monarchs thought Friedrich a warmongering madman. But demonising them only increased their lure. It is the same with Trump. Call it a perverse admiration for the dark side – it’s a fact.

Nor is it necessary that a hero should be flawless. Napoleon’s scandalous wife Josephine repeatedly cuckolded him. And the Emperor had an innocent young Prince, the Duke of Enghien, kidnapped and murdered. Queer Friedrich was a woman hater and Cromwell a bully. Literary heroes are no better. Shakespeare penned Goebbels-like lies to extol the ghastly Tudors and Rousseau gave away his five children to an orphanage. No one would call Trump an angel but, again, that cannot per se count against his heroic status.

The Donald makes no pretence to intellectualism. He is a man of action. Fine for a US President but not sufficient for hero cult. Friedrich the Great’s military genius went hand in hand with his interest in philosophy and music. He played the cello and turned Voltaire into his PR officer. Cromwell had Milton to sing his praises. Napoleon mesmerised Hegel, Hazlitt, Manzoni and Foscolo. Hhmmm...difficult to imagine writers and poets taking to Trump. But the point is wider. Trump’s enemies are ‘the Establishment’. That includes ‘the intellectuals’ and you can only answer that lot in condign, sophisticated ways. Unless Trump can gather under his banner some substantial cultural figures, his heroics will appear opaque.

And Islam? Did not Trump a year ago suggest banning Muslims from entering the US? The priest discussed that heroically dubious statement back in Rant 589 bis. I asked: does this shrewd businessman really intend to ban Saudis, Qataris and other Gulf Arab sheiks? Flocking to glittering American spots like Las Vegas, where they delight in gambling and whoring? Come off it! Arab oil billionaires are too filthy rich, too useful in finance, the economy to be made persona non grata. Or does he mean to ban only lowly and poor Muslims? All water under the bridge now. Has Trump not just received in his Tower, along with Nigel Farage, British Muslim Rahim Kassam? So, there!

Socrates argued that a hero is someone possessed by Eros, a god. Trump’s portly figure looks unlikely in that role but then…who knows?

Revd Frank Julian Gelli

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