Showing posts with label 11th March 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 11th March 2008. Show all posts

Tuesday, 11 March 2008

Karabagh Conflict news‏

Communique From NKR Representative in USA

Washington, DC – Last week an Azerbaijani military unit attacked defense positions of Nagorno Karabakh, wounding two Karabakh officers and seizing two military posts near Levonarkh located in the northern part of the Line of Contact. After fruitless attempts to reinstate the status-quo through OSCE mediation, the NKR Defense Army launched a counter-offensive and restored its defense positions causing casualties to the adversary.

This blatant violation of the 1994 Ceasefire Agreement by Azerbaijan follows President Ilham Aliyev’s recent statement that his country had been buying military hardware, airplanes and ammunition and was prepared to attack Nagorno Karabakh again.

NKR Government informed the OSCE representative in the region about the Azeri attack and asked the Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-office to urge Baku to stop the offensive and retire to previous positions. However, Azerbaijan’s refusal to cooperate left no option for the NKR defense forces other than to respond in kind, reclaiming the two military posts after a brief but intensive firefight.

NKR Ministry of Foreign Affairs called for a crisis-monitoring of the area to fully investigate the incident. However, the mission, which was planned for March 7, had to be postponed due to Baku's refusal to ensure the security of the OSCE personnel.

NKR military intelligence points to increased concentration of Azerbaijani military hardware and personnel close to Levonarkh.

“We urge, once again, the Azeri leadership to refrain from attempts to violate the armistice and also warn that any intrusion by the Azeri military units will receive an adequate response of the NKR Defense Army,” said today’s statement of the NKR Foreign Ministry.

The OSCE Minsk Group Co-chairs issued a statement (http://www.osce.org/item/30094.html), in which they called on the conflicting sides to restore confidence along the Line of Contact and desist from any further confrontations, escalation of violence or warmongering rhetoric.

“The Co-Chairs reiterate that there is no military solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The outbreak of hostilities would destabilize the entire region, with calamitous consequences for all involved”, the statement said in part.

In the last several years Azerbaijan has used its vast oil revenues to build up its offensive capabilities aimed against Nagorno Karabakh, threatening the latter with another war. Azerbaijan’s destructive behavior jeopardizes OSCE mediation efforts and also goes against the U.S. goal of fostering peace and stability in the South Caucasus.

The Nagorno Karabakh Republic remains fully committed to the peaceful resolution of the conflict with Azerbaijan and also ready to resume full-fledged negotiations without any preconditions. NKR welcomes continued mediation efforts of the OSCE Minsk Group, co-chaired by the United States, Russia and France.

We also call on the United States and the international community to hold Azerbaijan accountable for the recent violation of the truce and to help prevent further escalation of tensions in the region.

* * *

The Office of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic in the United States is based in Washington, DC and works with the U.S. government, academia and the public representing the official policies and interests of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic, Artsakh.

MORE DEADLY FIGHTING REPORTED IN KARABAKH
AP
11 March 08

BAKU, Azerbaijan (AP) - Azerbaijani and ethnic Armenian forces
exchanged more gunfire near the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh
over the weekend, killing two civilians and at least two soldiers,
officials in Baku said Monday.

There has been an alarming spike in shootings that Azerbaijani
officials say has killed seven soldiers and civilians this month
alone. The violence has raised new fears that full-scale fighting
could break out again between both sides.

Armenian officials confirmed the weekend shooting, but denied there
were fatalities on either side.

Azerbaijani Defense Ministry spokesman Eldar Sabiroglu said two
Azerbaijani civilians were killed and two wounded in the shooting
overnight Saturday in the Agdam region.

On Sunday, meanwhile, more small-arms fire broke out in another
adjacent region, killing one Azerbaijani soldier and injuring
another. An Armenian soldier was killed also, Sabiroglu said.

A Nagorno-Karabakh military spokesman, Lt. Col. Senor Hasratian,
denied there were fatalities, either civilian or military during
the weekend skirmishes. "As long as you don't consider the regular
violations of the cease-fire from the Azerbaijani side, then one could
say that the situation along the line of control are fully normal,"
he told The Associated Press.

In Yerevan, meanwhile, the skirmishes prompted comment from President
Robert Kocharian, who told reporters that two ethnic Armenian
officers were wounded when Azerbaijani forces attacked an outpost on
Nagorno-Karabakh's outskirts.

"It's been a long time since artillery was used on the front line,"
he said.

He said mediators from the Organization for Security and Cooperation
in Europe later worked to persuade both sides to halt their gunfire.

Ali Hasanov, a top official with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliev's
administration, accused Armenia of sparking the violence, and he linked
it to the continuing unrest in Armenia that broke out following the
Feb. 19 presidential election.

Police violently cracked down on days of protests by supporters
of opposition candidate Levon Ter-Petrosian, who claimed the vote
was flawed.

Officials say the man Kocharian endorsed - Prime Minister Serge
Sarkisian - won.

"The Armenian leadership has resorted to such provocations to distract
attention of Armenians and the international community from the
internal situation in the country," Hasanov alleged. He said five
Azerbaijani soldiers and two civilians have been killed this month
alone in and around Nagorno-Karabakh, and several civilians and
soldiers injured.

IWPR
MUTUAL RECRIMINATIONS AFTER KARABAKH CLASH

Some ask whether front-line skirmish was connected with political turmoil in Armenia. By Karine Ohanian in Stepanakert, Samira Ahmedbeyli in Baku and Seda Muradyan in Yerevan

By Karine Ohanian in Stepanakert, Samira Ahmedbeyli in Baku and Seda Muradyan in Yerevan


As the dust begins to settle from a firefight between Azerbaijan and Armenian forces earlier this week, their respective politicians have reverted to verbal warfare as international mediators work to contain the damage to longer term prospects for peace.

Accounts differ as to who fired first. But all agree it was the most serious breach of the ceasefire in a decade, and one that could have alarming consequences if it were repeated.
The uneasy ceasefire on the frontline held by Armenian forces from Nagorny Karabakh and the Azerbaijani military was broken early on March 4.

Azerbaijani defence ministry spokesman Eldar Sabirogli said Armenian units broke the ceasefire by firing on Azerbaijani positions near the villages of Cheliburt, Talish and Gapanli in the Terter district, and the Tapgaragoyunli settlement in neighbouring Geranboy district. Both districts are to the north and east of Nagorny Karabakh.

Armenian sources confirmed that the fighting was in this general area, adjacent to the Mardakert district of Nagorny Karabakh.

Sabirogli said four Azerbaijani soldiers were killed and two civilians injured.

Senor Hasratian, spokesman for the defence ministry of the unrecognised Karabakh government, also cited a figure of four Azerbaijani dead and said two Armenian soldiers were injured, although in neither case were the wounds life-threatening.

He dismissed the accusations coming out of Baku, saying, "They are deliberately distorting things. If we had launched an attack, the bodies of the four Azerbaijani soldiers who died would not be lying on territory held by the army of Nagorny Karabakh."

The two sides agreed on these casualty figures, although according to Reuters, the Azerbaijanis also claimed that the Armenians lost 12 soldiers, which Hasratian denied.

The defence ministry of Armenia itself, which treats Nagorny Karabakh as a separate and independent entity, came out with a statement blaming the Azerbaijanis for starting the firefight.

Ministry spokesman Colonel Seyran Shahsuvarian said Azerbaijani forces seized an important defensive position held by the other side, which then responded with gunfire, regained the territory, and forced their opponents back to their original lines.

Major Hachik Tavadyan, one of those injured on the Nagorny Karabakh side, confirmed this account of events from his hospital bed, adding, "I was there and I know how it started. I cannot tell a lie - they attacked us first."

Anar Mamedkhanov, a member of Azerbaijan's parliament, told IWPR that President Ilham Aliev was visiting that part of the country, so it would hardly have made sense to launch military operations near to where he was.

"Basic human logic would tell you that for reasons of security, it wouldn't have been in the interests of the Azerbaijani armed forces to mount a provocation that day, since the president was in a neighbouring region that day. Why create a risk to his life?" asked Mamedkhanov.

The incident was undoubtedly the most serious of its kind in many years. Since a truce was signed in 1994, leaving Armenian forces in control of Nagorny Karabakh, there have been sporadic shooting incidents but the ceasefire has by and large held. The OSCE, the international mediating group, operates a limited monitoring mission which visits the front line periodically.

The OSCE's "Minsk Group" of international diplomats has tried repeatedly to broker an end to what is effectively a frozen conflict, but has found it impossible to devise a formula acceptable to all.

The Nagorny Karabakh authorities, along with Yerevan, say their de facto independence should be recognised by the international community. Azerbaijan insists that it has been deprived of control over large swathes of territory within its international boundaries, and that sovereignty must be restored as a precondition for discussions on autonomy for the Armenians there.

Predictably, this week's skirmish gave rise to belligerent talk from officials on both sides.

"The Azerbaijani army is responding to the Armenians as they deserve, and we are fully capable of defending our country's independence," Lieutenant-General Najmeddin Sadigov, chief of the Azerbaijani general staff, told ANS television.

Nagorny Karabakh's foreign ministry said, "The Azerbaijani side has sought to use such incidents of this kind to destabilise the situation in the entire region as well as on the [front] line of contact," and warned that Armenian forces would respond to such actions robustly.

The ministry demanded that the OSCE mission conduct "a thorough investigation into the causes and circumstances of the incident".

OSCE monitors were due to visit the line of fire on March 7, but the trip was postponed.

The international community was quick to call on all sides to avoid a repetition of the violence.

Finnish foreign minister Ilkka Kanerva, the OSCE Chairman-in-Office, who had visited the region only the week before, urged everyone concerned to "exercise maximum restraint, and observe the terms of the ceasefire".

"At this critical juncture in the negotiations to find a peaceful solution to the Nagorny Karabakh conflict, any action leading to a destabilisation of the line of contact can only have a negative impact on the overall situation," he said. "I urge the parties to avoid actions that could lead to further unnecessary loss of life."

He noted that the OSCE chairman's representative for the Karabakh conflict, Andrzej Kasprzyk, was currently in the region and was "in close contact with the parties".

A senior OSCE official told IWPR that "the situation is very dangerous; there is a risk of escalation", calling this "the worst incident in the last ten years".

"Fortunately, on this occasion, there was a political decision not to escalate," he said. "The worry is that this kind of skirmish could become a common occurrence."

The United States, one of the co-chairs of the Minsk Group, also had a senior diplomat - Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Matt Bryza - talking to top politicians in the region

In Washington, State Department spokesman Tom Casey told reporters that the US was concerned about the incident, which only served to underline the need for a negotiated settlement.

He noted, "There has not been a repeat of the incident and we hope that continues.

Azad Isazade, a defence expert at the Institute for War and Democracy in Baku, said ceasefire violations were fairly common at this time of year, when the snow melted and it became easier to move around. "Of course, on this occasion the shooting was on a larger scale," he said. "But I don't think it will lead to full-scale war."

Other commentators in Azerbaijan, Nagorny Karabakh and Armenia tended to identify internal political factors which might have prompted the opposing side to deliberately seek a confrontation.

David Babayan, a political analyst in Nagorny Karabakh, speculated that the Azerbaijani leadership might have been probing their opponents' defences at a time when Armenia itself is in political turmoil.

A second possibility, he suggested, was that Baku was seriously concerned that Nagorny Karabakh's aspirations for independence had moved a step forward following the declaration of independence by Kosovo, another former autonomous territory within a Communist state.

"Azerbaijan is seriously worried about the right of nations to self-determination, and it chose to react by using force," he said.

A common theme among analysts across the region was that the exchange of gunfire was in some way connected with the domestic political strife in Armenia, where opposition protests over the results of the February 19 presidential election ended in bloodshed on March 1. Eight people were reported dead after running battles between police and demonstrators in the capital Yerevan.

Azerbaijani political scientist Rasim Musabekov believes the administration of outgoing president Robert Kocharian and his elected successor Serzh Sarkisian stood to gain from creating a diversion to distract attention from their own problems.

Armed forces chief of staff Lt-Gen Sadigov made a similar point, saying the ceasefire was a direct consequence of Armenia's internal troubles.

Armenia's foreign minister Vardan Oskanian, meanwhile, accused Baku of "taking advantage of the exacerbation of the internal political situation in Armenia".

Despite the exchange of recriminations between Azerbaijan and Armenian politicians, and the flurry of international efforts to smooth over the crisis, not everyone was so exercised about it.

In Baku, Zamin Haji of the opposition Yeni Musavat fulminated about what he said was the "disgusting" disregard that Azerbaijani television stations showed for the clash by showing light entertainment rather than breaking news on the fighting.

In Stepanakert, the capital of Nagorny Karabakh, economist Ruzanna Petrosyan was dismissive of the media coverage of the fighting.

"I read on the internet that military activities had resumed. That's all down to you journalists - you make a world war out of a common-or-garden clash, anything to be sensational," she complained to IWPR. "It's all untrue. As you can see, life goes on as normal."

Karine Ohanian works for the Demo Newspaper in Stepanakert. Samira Ahmedbeyli is an IWPR contributor in Baku. Seda Muradyan is IWPR's editor in Yerevan.

While every effort has been made to use neutral language in this language, the terminology here was chosen by IWPR editors in London and may not reflect that preferred by the authors.

Armenian News -

President lifts some restrictions imposed in Armenia amid post-election protests
Monday, March 10, 2008

YEREVAN, Armenia: Armenia's president on Monday lifted some of the restrictions imposed after police cracked down on protests following last month's presidential election.

President Robert Kocharian's order allows political parties to resume some activities, though a ban on mass gatherings and harsh controls on the media remained in place.

The government had declared a 20-day state of emergency on March 1 after clashes between protesters and police left eight people dead and dozens injured.

On Saturday, the Constitutional Court rejected opposition candidate Levon Ter-Petrosian's appeal of the results from the Feb. 19 election.

Officials say it was won by the man Kocharian endorsed: Prime Minister Serge Sarkisian.

THE STATE OF EMERGENCY MITIGATED
armradio.am
10.03.2008 15:30

As it is known on March 1st RA President Robert Kocharyan signed a
decree on declaring a state of emergency in Yerevan in compliance
with Articles 55.14 and 117.6 of RA Constitution.

Today President Kocharyan signed a decree on implementing amendments
in the decree dated March 1, 2008. RA President's Spokesman Viktor
Soghomonyan presented the decree to mass media representatives today.

The Spokesman noted that taking into consideration that no violation
of the state of emergency has been registered in Yerevan, noting the
stabilization of the domestic political situation, having the objective
to ensure the soon return of the country and the population to normal
life, RA President Robert Kocharyan signed a decree on abolishing
parts 6 and 7 of the 4th point of the decree, which provided for

Temporary interruption of activities of parties and other public
organizations, which hinder the elimination of the conditions that
served as a basis for imposing the state of emergency;

Extradition of violators of the legal regime of the state of emergency
who do not reside in the given area

Viktor Soghomonayn noted also that specialists at RA President's Office
are working in the direction of finding other legal solutions to the
provision of the decree on emergency on restriction of mass media
activity, which will enable to mitigate the level of restrictions.

MORE OPPOSITION LEADERS ARRESTED
Radio Liberty
March 10 2008
Czech Republic

Two more close associates of former President Levon Ter-Petrosian
were arrested on Monday as the Armenian authorities continued their
unprecedented crackdown on the opposition resulting from last month's
disputed presidential election. A senior U.S. diplomat, meanwhile,
warned them against jailing the opposition leader as well.

The latest detainees are Aleksandr Arzumanian, a former foreign
minister and Ter-Petrosian's election campaign manager, and Ararat
Zurabian, chairman of the former ruling Armenian Pan-National Movement
(HHSh). Their lawyer, Hovik Arsenian, said they are likely to be
charged with seeking to "usurp power" in the wake of the February
19 election.

Arsenian spoke to RFE/RL by phone from the headquarters of Armenia's
National Security Service (NSS) where his clients were interrogated
and kept in custody as of late evening. He dismissed as baseless and
politically motivated the criminal cases brought against these and
other prominent opposition politicians close to Ter-Petrosian.

Arzumanian's and Zurabian's detention raised to at least 86 the number
of Ter-Petrosian supporters jailed in the past two weeks.

Among them are two opposition members of parliament. Two other
parliamentarians stripped of their immunity from prosecution have
gone into hiding.

According to a spokeswoman for the Office of the Prosecutor-General,
Sona Truzian, 73 oppositionists have already been formally charged with
plotting a coup d'etat, organizing and participating in "mass riots"
and other grave crimes. The charges mainly stem from the March 1 deadly
clashes in Yerevan between riot police and thousands of opposition
supporters demanding a re-run of what they see as a rigged election.

"The political orientation of these individuals doesn't matter to
the investigating body," Truzian said, referring to the detainees.

"Investigators are bringing accusations against those people who
organized and took part in mass riots and other events aimed at
undermining constitutional order."

The crackdown, which is not confined to Yerevan, is not letting up
despite the international community's growing calls for the lifting
of the state of emergency in the capital and a dialogue between the
Armenian authorities and the Ter-Petrosian-led opposition.

"We don't believe that further crackdown, further arrests, are the
right way to go," Kurt Volker, the U.S. acting assistant secretary of
state, for European and Eurasian Affairs, told RFE/RL from Washington
on Monday. "We think that what needs to be done is to move toward
lifting the state of emergency, assuring freedom of the media, assuring
the freedom of assembly, assuring the operation of political parties,
so that Armenia can walk back from this political crisis."

Also expressing concern at the wave of arrests was Joseph Pennington,
the U.S. charge d'affaires in Yerevan. "We have made clear to the
Armenian authorities that while we certainly recognize the right and
the obligation of the authorities to arrest and prosecute those who
were involved directly in violent activities last weekend, there is
a distinction that needs to be made between those people on the one
hand and those who may have expressed views that were bothersome to
the authorities," Pennington told RFE/RL.

"We strongly discourage those kinds of arrests that could be
interpreted as political arrests and think that would not contribute
to stability and reduction in tensions," he said.

Pennington also warned that the authorities will only heighten the
post-election tensions in Armenia if they follow through on their
threats to arrest and prosecute Ter-Petrosian. "We do not think that is
a step that would help to ease the situation here," he said. "We don't
think it would be the right way. We don't think it would useful. We
think it would probably increase tensions more than anything else."

President Robert Kocharian said last week that "many in Armenia"
believe that Ter-Petrosian too should be punished for the violent
standoff that left at least seven protesters and one police officer
dead. Prosecutor-General Aghvan Hovsepian likewise did not rule out the
possibility of the ex-president's arrest, saying that the opposition
actions were "managed from one center."

Justice Minister Gevorg Danielian told the AFP news agency on Monday
that law-enforcment authorities "already have sufficient evidence"
to prosecute Ter-Petrosian. "The investigation will show which exact
charges will be brought against him," Danielian said. "He has crossed
from the political sphere to the criminal sphere."

Ter-Petrosian has been under effective house arrest since the violent
break-up earlier on March 1 of his supporters' non-stop sit-in in
Yerevan's Liberty Square.



YEREVAN MUNICIPALITY DAMAGES IN MARCH 1-2 RIOT AMOUNT TO $223,000
ARMENPRESS
March 10, 2008

YEREVAN, MARCH 10, ARMENPRESS: Authorities in Yerevan have calculated
the volume of damage to public-owned buildings, property and other
assets in March 1-2 unrest at 69 million Drams ($222,500).

A deputy Yerevan mayor, Kamo Areyan, said today the municipality has
ordered swift repair of six trolley-buses that were burnt during the
March 1-2 unrest. According to him, the damages sustained to police
cars will be assessed by the latter.

The deputy mayor said the repair and reconstruction will be funded
by the Yerevan municipality and part of funds will come from Kentron
district's coffers. He said this will be carried out concurrently
with routine spring clean-up and improvement works and is supposed
to be over by mid-April.

He said damages to the musicality building were completely recovered.

ARMENIA 89TH AMONG 130 COUNTRIES IN WORLD COMPETITIVENESS IN TOURISM
banker.am
04.03.2008


This is a 15-point reduction as compared to the level of 2007,
"Economy and Values" research center reported.

According to the report, Armenia is on the fifth line among CIS
countries leaving ahead only Russia (64th), Georgia (72nd), Ukraine
(77th) and Azerbaijan (79th).

Among positive factors in the tourism field of Armenia are
sanitary conditions, security of tourists, price competition and
friendly treatment of tourists. Among the shortcomings the report
is particularly mentioning visa regime with the countries where
most of tourists come from, ecology problems, internal transport
infrastructure, availability of hotel rooms and training of personnel.

According to the report, Switzerland is the most competitive country
in tourism followed by Austria and Germany. Among other competitive
countries are Chad, Lesotho and Burundi. Three aspects have been
considered in developing the world competitiveness index - regulation
of tourism field; business sphere and infrastructure; human, cultural
and natural resources.

According to Armenia's National Statistical Service, 510,287 tourists
visited Armenia in January-December 2007, which is a 33.5% increase
against 2006.

Presentation - The Oral Tradition of Armenian Genocide Survivors‏

Dear Friends,

The Bay Area Armenian National Committee in co-sponsorship with the UC Berkeley Armenian Studies Program and Hamazkayin Armenian Cultural and Educational Society, SF is proud to bring you:

"The Oral Tradition of Armenian Genocide Survivors: What their Testimonies and Songs Reveal about their Experience"

A Presentation with Slide Show by

Verjine Svazlian, Lead Researcher, Institute of Archaeology and Ethnography and Museum-Institute of the Armenian Genocide, Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Armenia

In Armenian with English translation

Wednesday, March 19, 2007 - 7:30 pm

Vaspouragan Hall, 51 Commonweatlh Ave., San Francisco

Since 1955, Verjine Svazlian has collected the oral histories, folk literature and songs of Armenian Genocide survivors from 100 localities in Western Armenia. She has authored numerous books, bringing to light the ways in which the Genocide is expressed in Armenians' historical memory and folk culture.

---

Armenian National Committee
San Francisco
- Bay Area
51 Commonwealth Avenue
San Francisco
, CA 94118

Tel: (415) 387-3433
Fax: (415) 751-0617

mail@ancsf.org

www.ancsf.org

TER-PETROSYAN’S OBJECTIVE:

“INTERNATIONAL INQUIRY INTO THE MARCH 1 EVENTS” IN ARMENIA

By Armen Ayvazyan

The article presented below was first published on the Web site

of the Strategic Culture Foundation (Moscow) on March 6, 2008

The in-depth analysis of the recent events in Armenia is still to come; nevertheless, we can draw certain conclusions. First of all, we would like to touch upon one of the extremest statements made by former Armenian presidential candidate Levon Ter-Petrosyan. During the Constitutional Court hearing on March 5, 2008, the ex-President demanded that “an international inquiry into the March 1 events” be launched[1].

Let us try to understand what an “international inquiry into the March 1 events” could mean.

We are already accustomed to seeing the first President of Armenia use terms and concepts quite readily without defining their legal content. We should keep in mind that the “international inquiry” of any event has quite specific contents and regulated procedures of implementation.

First, this means that the UN Security Council, which gives permission for such kind of “international inquiries”, has to admit that the event constitutes a violation of the international commitments of the given state and creates security threats on the regional and global level.

Second, it is necessary to set up a special investigative body – a commission – under the auspices of the United Nations, that is to say, a committee vested with emergency powers in a sovereign state.

Third, the activity of such investigative team, first of all, envisages granting it unlimited authority for conducting a thorough study of all the materials of the “March 1” case. This would-be commission could carry out the interrogation of any citizen of Armenia, including the officials, the officers of the Police, the National Security Service and the Armed Forces, as well as the highest leaders of the state. Incidentally, these people could not refuse to give testimony.

Fourth, as international experience has demonstrated time and again, the specialists of a multinational investigative team (the investigators, prosecutors, criminologists, intelligence officers, translators, etc.), first and foremost, represent and protect the interests of their own states, in spite of the mandate vested in them. That is to say, they comply with the political agenda of their states. As a matter of fact, such commissions are set up with that particular purpose. As a rule, their work is prolonged for as long as required for accomplishing the political objectives of their respective states. Let’s just recall how, in the period between 1991 and 1998, UNSCOM (The United Nations Special Commission) was engaged in the perpetual search for non-existent nuclear weapons in Iraq and how the entire process of its activities was used to impose all kinds of pressures and introduce ever newer sanctions restricting the sovereignty and undermining the state machinery of that Iraq.

Of course, proposing to launch such an international inquiry into “the March 1 events”, the first President of Armenia might have been unaware of these basic truths, which are the subject of study for the experts in international law and national security. But then we have the right to conclude that Ter-Petrosyan is unaware and ignorant of the issues about which he makes public statements. However, if he is aware of the subject matter and nonetheless continues to insist on his proposal, the strongest doubts emerge whether he believes in the very idea of an Independent Armenia. No special mental efforts are required for imagining what statements Ter-Petrosyan’s proponents will make in response to our judgments: “The authorities are afraid of an international inquiry, and this proves the righteousness of the opposition” etc. But let’s refrain from hysteria and examine the essence and possible consequences of implementing the proposal by the former Armenian President.

It is not a secret that the United States and its allies play first fiddle in many international organizations, under the auspices of which the international investigative commissions are set up. If we, for a moment, conditionally imagine that a similar commission has been set up with the purpose of investigating the March 1 events, it won’t be hard to guess that the predominant role in the international investigative team will belong to the representatives of those Western countries which have specific geopolitical interests and tasks in our region. The members of the investigative group will be granted legal immunity throughout the territory of Armenia, in accordance with the Convention on the Privileges and Immunities of the United Nations. In the meantime, they will be actively engaged in espionage, as did, for instance, the UNSCOM leaders and members who later made public statements about their activity. Thus, citing anonymous sources, the Washington Post and Boston Globe reported that Richard Butler had known of and cooperated with a US electronic eavesdropping operation that allowed intelligence agents to monitor military communications in Iraq. This was confirmed by UNSCOM insider Rod Barton on Australian television in February 2005. This intelligence was used to target US air attacks on Iraq.

To have a more complete picture as to what powers are vested with such investigative bodies, let’s quote several paragraphs from the UN Security Council Resolution 1595 which led to the creation of the “UN international independent investigation Commission based in Lebanon to assist the Lebanese authorities in their investigation of all aspects of this terrorist act (i.e. the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri), including help to identify its perpetrators, sponsors, organizers and accomplices”:

[UN Security Council] Decides that, to ensure the Commission's effectiveness in the discharge of its duties, the Commission shall:

– Enjoy the full cooperation of the Lebanese authorities, including full access to all documentary, testimonial and physical information and evidence in their possession that the Commission deems relevant to the inquiry;

– Have the authority to collect any additional information and evidence, both documentary and physical, pertaining to this terrorist act, as well as to interview all officials and other persons in Lebanon, that the Commission deems relevant to the inquiry;

– Enjoy freedom of movement throughout the Lebanese territory, including access to all sites and facilities that the Commission deems relevant to the inquiry;

– Be provided with the facilities necessary to perform its functions, and be granted, as well as its premises, staff and equipment, the privileges and immunities to which they are entitled under the Convention on the Privileges and Immunities of the United Nations.

In February 2006, a decision was made for setting up a Special Tribunal for Lebanon, and in December 2007 the Netherlands agreed to host the tribunal in The Hague.

Now, a couple of words about the inevitable consequences of the implementation of Ter-Petrosyan’s proposal.

The very process of setting up such body – i.e. including the proposal in the agenda of the UN Security Council, discussing and voicing Armenia’s internal problem in that tribunal, disputing the mandate etc. – will be a powerful blow to Armenia’s sovereignty and international reputation.

The activity of such a would-be team in Armenia will, in its turn, undermine the country’s fledgling national security system which, as shown by the recent events, has serious flaws and is in its formative stage. Actually, the ex-President proposes to hand over a most important component of Armenia’s sovereignty, its justice system, under the control of the international forces which are absolutely not interested in the strengthening of Armenian statehood. If we take into consideration the factor of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict which may, at any moment, revert into a new aggression against Armenia, independent Armenian statehood will “sing its swan song” as a result of the formation of such a committee. Perhaps, during the rally of February 22, 2008, Ter-Petrosyan had a good reason to inspire his audience with the following thought, “freedom is a value higher than independence, higher than all the victories, higher than statehood itself. Who needs such a state, such authorities and such independence that do not bestow freedom to the individual.”

Comparing this anarchist doctrine by Ter-Petrosyan with his obsessive idea of handing over Armenia’s liberated territory to Azerbaijan and deploying international “peacekeepers” there, his continuous calls directed to the West for intervening in the internal affairs of Armenia[2] as well as his most recent proposal on launching an “international inquiry into the March 1 events”, it is possible to conclude that the ex-President of Armenia presents and lobbies the interests of certain authors of the international political system, entities which have demonstrated no support for the interests of Armenian statehood and the Armenian people. It is likely that the principal thesis of Ter-Petrosyan’s pre- and post-election program was precisely the international investigation of the events in Armenia, as declared in his March 5 speech; this is why the disorders of March 1 were provoked.

The implementation of the programs authored by such virtual and at the same time recognizable actors are clearly obvious in Iraq where the loss of statehood and the collapse of the country are just a matter of time, as many analysts believe. It is also necessary to admit that the events which took place in Iraq were predetermined by the activity of the above-mentioned UN Special Commission. But if Saddam Hussein’s regime was really criminal and deserved the condemnation of the international community, the matter in our case is different as it deals with the ambitions and harmful activities of the first RA President who is trying to strike an equally undermining blow to the re-established Armenian-statehood which, in the course of less than 20 years of its history, faced a war of existence and an economic blockade; a country which is even now subject to most powerful informational and psychological attacks and the threat of a new Turkish-Azerbaijani invasion. It is also interesting to underline that during his tenure, Ter-Petrosyan never raised a question for launching an “international inquiry” in connection with the slaughters and massacres of Armenians, organized by the Azerbaijani authorities in Sumgait, Baku, Kirovabad, Getashen, Maragha and other Armenian-populated areas.

What’s described above are just some of the possible consequences of Ter-Petrosyan’s demand for conducting an “international inquiry into the March 1 events”, and we hope that they will never come true as far as Armenia is concerned; the Armenian people will never allow anything of the kind to happen.

Nevertheless, the Armenian authorities have to admit that along with many other mistakes and shortcomings (social and human resource policies, the inability to hear the voice of the public, etc.) they also committed a strategic mistake: With their acquiescence – and sometimes even support – and through foreign assistance, a powerful fifth column, headed by Ter-Petrosyan and the Armenian Pan-National Movement, has struck roots and organized itself in Armenia.

To cure this disease without pain is, alas, no longer possible; that time has now passed. But removal of the malignant tumor is, nonetheless, mandatory.

ARMEN AYVAZYAN

Doctor of Political Science,

Director, “Ararat” Center for Strategic Research

www.hayq.org

www.ararat-center.org